Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.082392 7.804451 8.587534 9.503089 10.548192 11.708707 13.101414
2025-12-28 6.537130 7.589609 8.811505 10.348087 12.247437 14.542983 17.565480
2026-01-04 5.960844 7.162291 8.621936 10.551446 13.074173 16.316878 20.895592
2026-01-11 5.351603 6.594962 8.157410 10.302480 13.231575 17.184975 23.094243
2026-01-18 5.060464 6.383906 8.100225 10.542641 14.020600 18.946031 26.743844
2026-01-25 4.673312 6.004320 7.773772 10.364931 14.182258 19.807159 29.155279
2026-02-01 4.360507 5.694393 7.507475 10.232311 14.373858 20.706757 31.729433
2026-02-08 4.080117 5.405125 7.241853 10.067004 14.484075 21.471983 34.172583
2026-02-15 3.821234 5.126398 6.967300 9.858106 14.494544 22.061273 36.379197
2026-02-22 3.633841 4.936232 6.805212 9.801712 14.733532 23.043691 39.444563
2026-03-01 3.392019 4.651708 6.483406 9.467475 14.478515 23.137013 40.810012
2026-03-08 3.141816 4.341300 6.103925 9.012618 13.977205 22.733450 41.110817
2026-03-15 2.970105 4.144709 5.894723 8.831896 13.954479 23.241457 43.484345
2026-03-22 3.030032 4.301066 6.240644 9.594118 15.671416 27.250246 54.314550
2026-03-29 2.956627 4.246289 6.247085 9.778828 16.355088 29.340256 61.296773
2026-04-05 2.804389 4.059431 6.028322 9.552985 16.239138 29.772572 64.313426
2026-04-12 2.751617 4.027050 6.059442 9.770833 17.000228 32.166265 73.003564
2026-04-19 2.630859 3.878977 5.888999 9.609648 16.990449 32.864965 77.267073
2026-04-26 2.526111 3.751880 5.746683 9.489310 17.050659 33.729229 82.242085
2026-05-03 2.423237 3.623113 5.594508 9.339253 17.033674 34.410078 86.861914
2026-05-10 2.320258 3.489717 5.427547 9.149528 16.914398 34.829360 90.789340
2026-05-17 2.246619 3.402156 5.335898 9.098292 17.088849 35.998070 97.546491
2026-05-24 2.136720 3.249151 5.121924 8.794457 16.679924 35.635071 98.944524